OSCAR PREDICTIONS-2016
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2016 ACADEMY AWARDS
OSCAR PREDICTIONS by:
Jim "Good Old JR" Rutkowski
The 2016 Academy Awards are coming up and our movie critic emeritus "JR" is back with his picks for Oscar Night. How close will he be? We'll find out on Sunday February 28th.
Pop the champagne! Don't forget to grab a $200,000 gift bag on the way out! “Who are you wearing? ”Don't stumble over Jennifer Lawrence. She's taken another Oscar tumble. Now that we've got that out of the way, let's get on to the main event. Having seen all eight of the nominees for best film, I can honestly only quibble with one. Coincidentally, it's from the same director of last years best picture winner. Even more coincidentally, it would seem that same director will most likely be winning again this year. A shame. Overall though, a worthy bunch. I liked each one to varying degrees. My own pick choice for the best movie of the year, Ex Machina didn't even get nominated. But a win for almost any of the others is not a bad thing indeed. Every category save one this year were easy to formulate. The tough call in 2016 is best film. This year there are three clear front-runners. The Revenant seemed like the sure thing. But Spotlight gained some ground via other award wins. Then Adam McCays' The Big Short started notching come victories. Consequently, I may blow the call on the big prize. But I'm sticking with my cinematic gut. Here we go.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Christian Bale, The Big Short
Tom Hardy,
The Revenant
Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
Mark Rylance,
Bridge of Spies
Sylvester Stallone, Creed
And the winner is: Creed. Maybe Rylance deserves this based on the quiet skill of his work, but my vote would go to Sly. He plays Rocky in Creed with a real vulnerability that we haven't seen before. If this is Rocky's last bow onscreen, then it's a great turn by Stallone.
2016 WINNER: Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
BEST COSTUME DESIGN:
Carol
Cinderella
The Danish Girl
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
And the winner is:  Carol. I'm waffling between this and Max. But the period is so well represented by the work here.
2016 WINNER: Mad Max: Fury Road
BEST MAKE UP & HAIRSTYLING

Mad Max: Fury Road
The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out a Window and Disappeared
The Revenant

And the winner is:  Mad Max: Fury Road Even with a buzz cut and grease smeared across her forehead, Charlize Theron is gorgeous.
2016 WINNER: Mad Max: Fury Road
BEST SOUND EDITING

The Revenant
Mad Max: Fury Road
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
The Martian
Sicario

And the winner is:  The Revenant
2016 WINNER: Mad Max: Fury Road
BEST SOUND MIXING

The Revenant
Mad Max: Fury Road
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
The Martian
Bridge of Spies

And the winner is:  The Revenant
2016 WINNER: Mad Max: Fury Road
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:

Embrace of the Serpent
Mustang
Son of Saul
Theeb
A War

And the winner is:  Son of Saul. None of the self-importance that usually comes with Holocaust films. Formally riveting, emotionally shattering, and astonishingly confident.
2016 WINNER: Son of Saul
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara, Carol
Rachel McAdams, Spotlight
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs
And the winner is:  The Danish Girl. Vikander gives an even stronger performance in Ex Machina. She's a rising star with film after film of terrific work.
2016 WINNER: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:

Ex Machina
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

And the winner is:  Star Wars: The Force Awakens. Nice to see so many practical effects along with the CGI.
2016 WINNER: Ex Machina
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM:
Anomalisa
Boy and the World
Inside Out
Shaun the Sheep Movie
When Marnie Was There
And the winner is:  Inside Out. Pixar returns to form after a few misfires. A joyous and surprisingly wise film about what it means to grow up. I could quibble and say that Anomalisa is more complex and rewarding. But why would I do that?
2016 WINNER: Inside Out
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN:
Bridge of Spies
The Danish Girl
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
And the winner is:  Mad Max: Fury Road The dystopian future created here is always convincing and completely immersive.
2016 WINNER: Mad Max: Fury Road
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:
Carol
The Hateful Eight
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
Sicario
And the winner is:  The Revenant Here is the one thing I do love about this film, Emmanuel Lubezkis' camerawork. Beautiful and luminous and all naturally lit.
2016 WINNER: The Revenant
BEST EDITING:
The Big Short
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
Spotlight
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
And the winner is:  Mad Max: Fury Road Max may be mad and his journey filled with fury. But it's action is always concise. Masterfully cut!
2016 WINNER: Mad Max: Fury Road
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE:

Amy
Cartel Land
The Look of Silence
What Happened, Miss Simone?
Winter on Fire: Ukraine’s Fight for Freedom

And the winner is:  Amy. An unforgettable look at fame and the unsympathetic toll it takes.
2016 WINNER: Amy
BEST ORIGINAL SONG:
"“Earned It,”  50 Shades Of Grey
“Manta Ray,”  Racing Extinction
“Simple Song #3,”  Youth
“Til It Happens to You,”  The Hunting Ground
“Writing’s on the Wall,”  Spectre
And the winner is:  “Til It Happens to You,” The Hunting Ground. All I have to go on here is that I listened to all 5 and this was the one I liked the best. I call 'em like I hear 'em.
2016 WINNER: “Writing’s on the Wall,”  Spectre
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:
Bridge of Spies
Carol
The Hateful Eight
Sicario
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
And the winner is:  The Hateful Eight. The legendary composer Ennio Morricone trumps the other master, John Williams. Any year that gives us scores by these two is a great year. The edge to Ennio though.
2016 WINNER: The Hateful Eight
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
Bridge of Spies
Ex Machina
Inside Out
Spotlight
Straight Outta Compton
And the winner is:  Spotlight. Tom McCarthy and Josh Singers' screenplay could have gone the easy, cheap route and played out as a thriller. But instead, they craft some layered nuances to a powder-keg real life story.
2016 WINNER: Spotlight
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
The Big Short
Brooklyn
Carol
The Martian
Room
And the winner is:  The Big Short. Charles Randolph and Adam McKay take a complex event and find unique and entertaining ways to make it accessible to the audience.
2016 WINNER: The Big Short
BEST DIRECTOR:

Adam McKay, The Big Short
George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road
Alejandro G. Iñárritu, The Revenant
Lenny Abrahamson, Room
Tom McCarthy, Spotlight

And the winner is:  Iñárritu. See explanation under best picture. My vote would go to McCarthy for his subtle, unobtrusive work.
2016 WINNER: Alejandro G. Iñárritu, The Revenant
BEST ACTRESS:
Cate Blanchett, Carol
Brie Larson,
Room
Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years
Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn
And the winner is:  Brie Larson, Room. Unlike the actor category, actress is filled to the brim with top tier work. But Larson is the clear winner. Given the nature of her role and the high tension level of the subject matter, her performance is never over-modulated or showy. She hits it perfectly
2016 WINNER: Brie Larson, Room
BEST PICTURE:
The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Room
Spotlight
And the winner is:  The Revenant. Not a fan of this one. Nor did I particularly enjoy Iñárritus' winner from last year Birdman. But the voters seem to value technique over storytelling. My favorite film of the year, Ex Machina wasn't even nominated. But If I were voting from this list, it would be Spotlight.
2016 WINNER: SPOTLIGHT
FINAL TALLEY:
JR PICKED: 13 out of 20

OSCAR © Copyright 2016 Academy of Motion Picture Arts & Sciences. No right given or implied by Alternate Reality, Incorporated.

Article © 2016 Alternate Reality, Inc.

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